Summer Stock Picks
There are two cycles to the Beat the Market investing/swing trade year.
Beat the Market Cycle 1 (October to May)
This is the meat of the investing season during most typical cyclical
bull markets which run from October/November through to May in the US.
There is a very simple adage to follow…
“Buy in September and remember, sell in May and go away.”
It works remarkably well although I like to start the meat of the year
in November as opposed to September because that time period can
historically be quite volatile. Waiting until November to make the
majority of your purchases will help you avoid some major market
corrections which tend to occur over that time. November also times
well with the beginning of tax loss selling season so you can get some
pretty good value at this time of year. Lastly, November is usually
when the market gets direction.
The caveat to this rule is that in Canada this season usually ends
around PDAC which is March/April. Although this year crude is on a tear
which has the TSX and many energy stocks breaking out at what is
normally a peculiar time of year for momentum in energy. Considering
MARCH is when most commodities peak out and Canadian Stocks are
commodities weighted, it is no surprise that the TSX tops out before US
indexes, but the eve of WW3 and recent events this Sunday in Ukraine
speak to the continued escalation of the conflict and not de-escalation
in Eastern Europe.
Ukraine Conflict Continues to Escalate
Apparently some Kiev controlled ‘Right Sector’ militia gunned down an
unarmed citizen controlled checkpoint in Eastern Ukraine. This is
obviously going to increase tensions considering one of the men gunned
down was an unarmed 53 year old bus driver father of 2. Several others
were hit with bullets in the back fleeing the melee after the initial
man was killed by an assailant. In spite of the recent de-escalation
talks in Ukraine between Russia, US, EU ad Ukraine, I feel it necessary
to include this conflict in my macro analysis. I see only lip service
from both sides and Russia will protect its interests which include a
major Russian population in Ukraine.
I really haven’t said much because I hate war and hope it will just go
away, but it is clear that we are escalating towards a global conflict
since Syria and Ukraine is the new front. Up next is Turkey and the
Kurdish movement to organize in SE Turkey. A new power block of states
is emerging including China and Russia forming a geopolitical and
economic alliance that could bring the traditional Silk Road economic
route back to major economic prominence. A part of this will be the
establishment of Kurdistan by the Silk Road Alliance which will help
stabilize the Middle East with a progressive nation that the west has
refused to help establish.
War trade to help establish a bottom in POG
I am a nervous short on POG. I would be covering in the first few days
of June, considering POG like oil, will carry a war trade. As much as
WW3 is about the establishment of trade in USD in every country the US
decides to destabilize called the Petro Dollar. Gold is going to play a
major prominence in the WW3 as an assault on the USD will be part of
the plan to cripple the US. The Eastern Financial block that is
emerging is cash rich, resource rich, and has slowly bought up all the
world’s physical gold the last few years. WW3 will be about
establishing financial trade around the globe among money other things
for Western powers because the Central Bankers have the ultimate
monetary tool as long as the USD stays the Petro dollar.
Debt Monetization.
So one way the Silk Road is going to do this is set up their own
economic system and simply stop trading in USD. Recently a bock of
countries announced they would no longer be trading oil in USD so we are
on that route. The biggest thing you have to realize is that Western
Powers represent a minority of the population so unless the West beats
the East with its military might… the cash strapped western system will
decline while the Eastern financial system backed by cash, gold, assets,
above ground commodities and below ground natural resources will rise
in prominence over the next century.
Like it or not… this is the beginning of the end of the USD as the Petro
Dollar which in my opinion will at some point mark POG’s second leg
up. Is the Ukraine conflict the catalyst that finally puts the bottom
in gold? We are going to find out this summer. If things truly
de-escalate then I expect gold to naturally track lower in anticipation
of a fall correction and washout type action.
Atypical Season
We are already shaping up to be somewhat of an atypical year which may
mean the market continues to grind higher this summer with no May
selloff. In addition to markets grinding higher is the extra cold
winter which has delayed spring in North America. This could serve to
be a launching pad for improving economic data the next few months as
winter savers turn into summer spenders and boost retail economic
spending.
Normally March/April/May is the time you want to be taking a profit on
the investments you made back in October and November. Because this
year might be atypical with markets thrashing about in a directionless
manner, we may go higher this summer into a serious correction this
summer fall.
Beat the Market Cycle 2 (May to October)
Typically the second part of the Beat the Market season happens when the
general market sells off in May. You don’t want to be buying too much
in May because it can mean you being under water in your investment for a
long time, that is why the philosophy about Summer Stock Picks
changes. If you happen to be under water on any stock… you want to be
under water in the cream of the crop, so in the summer you plan out the
best companies you can find.
And when I say best companies, I don’t mean Apple, or Google or even
TSLA. Double digit returns suck!!! I mean the cream of the crop
stories. The AAA of the group, the companies you don’t mind buying at
52 week highs or 52 week lows.
So unless you are extremely optimistic about a company’s future like in
Poet Technologies PTK.V or are buying what you believe will be a “World
Class’ company 50 years in the future like Plandai Biotechnology PLPL,
you want to be at cash during this period for the most part.
The majority of stocks I picked way back in November… you probably
should have cut the majority loose unless you are absolutely in love
with the story… and in that case… the summer period is when you buy more
and accumulate. In the worst case scenario… that is all it ends up
being… an accumulation period if you are wrong and your pick doesn’t
take off.
So what do PTK and PLPL have in common? Certainly not their charts!!!
PTK I might be selling to buy PLPL. Since our last technical indication
to get back in PTK.V it has nearly doubled while PLPL has dropped 50%.
Not only that but PLPL has made a definitive turn at $0.50 and looks to
bounce back to $1. The PTK.V chart on the other hand looks like it is
topping out and probably one I would avoid until June.

What these two companies have in common is I feel these companies will be billion dollar market cap companies one day.
In
PTK’s case… it could even be this year and a potential bidding war for
the company once their expected prototype successfully tests on third
party’s platforms. PTK is obviously closer to realization than PLPL,
but within these two stocks you should be able to trade them back and
forth and now I would be heavily weighted in PLPL and very light on PTK
over the next month even though I am leading with PTK in my summer stock
picks category.
Do you see the psychology I am getting at when I am looking for summer stock picks?
I am looking for ‘Balls to the Wall Buys’ that you can’t refuse in any season. That is why if in the doggiest dog days of summer you made a bad buy in the May June July season;
at least you get to buy your favorite stock even cheaper.
That is when you want to average down… and about the
only time. When you pre-ejaculate with a beautiful lady, you don’t turn
tail and run away. Hell no. You try again. It’s a beautiful lady and
you keep on trying until she kicks you to the curb or robbed you of
your last dollar!
You were so attracted you couldn’t help yourself. The same goes with
the best stocks. We all pre-ejaculate with them and buy them when we
shouldn’t. The worst case scenario in Beat the Market Summer Stock
Picks… is you end up accumulating the cream of the crop stories. It is
generally these stories that will turn first if the market doesn’t go
your way.
It’s all I really try and do in summer… look for the best stories. No
hard thinking. No number crunching. Just look for a good read.
Poet Technologies PTK.V

Share Price… $2.54
Shares Out… 150M
Market Cap… $375M
So what has this stock pick flying?
Quantum Computing.
When the company announced a patent March 31 around quantum computing, the stock has taken off and not looked back.
I have no idea what quantum computing is, but it sounds pretty cool and
POET chips will allow quantum computing to happen. Actually I kind of
do know what quantum computing is and it represents a major leap forward
in technology allowing computers to theoretically break or decode any
algorithm or encryption. NSA is going to love this technology but it
also means the opening up of doors to science and technology allowing
computers to perform functions and test theories that man could not
possibly calculate even with the aid of today’s most powerful computers.
Quantum computing is definitely a major leap forward in tech and it
makes PTK that much more desirable as a stock and why the company has
nearly tripled in the last month.
Optical chips are almost here. Finally.
PTK has a pretty certain future locking up another patent and why this
stock has flown past all my expectations and tapped on the $3 door in
April. I hate telling you to buy stocks that have gone 500% in 4
months and then include it in my summer stock pick selection like PTK is
going to keep on chugging along… but I cannot put any other rating on
this company other than STRONG BUY.
Plandai Biotechnology PLPL

Share Price… $0.635
Shares Out… $125M
Market Cap… $71M
The marijuana boom is as over is a fast as it started. NOT!!! But the
stocks have come back to the prices they were pre-pot boom. Well most
of them anyway. This gives an excellent second chance for stragglers
and investors caught unaware and it has also allowed me to review the
sector and the companies that I want going forward. Undeniably PLPL
after surging to $2.50 and back to $0.50 has me drooling all over this
company. Unlike the rest of the companies with suspect management and
pump and dump credentials, PLPL stands out above the rest as a premiere
POT stock.
If you notice I have made major renovations to my Beat the Market
Mock Portfolio so you might want to check out who I dropped and who I
maintained and who I added to the list among Pot Stocks.
If I were to pick slam dunk billion dollar pot stocks I would pick
Medbox MDBX, GW Pharma GWPH, Plandia Biotechnology PLPL and Tweed
Marijuana TWD.V.
Why Plandai Biotechnology?
- Has a history with Diego Pellicer with branding power and instant recognisability
- Has management with Jamen Shively with investment connections including Microsoft
- Has recognizable products and formulas.
- Recognizes international importance as legalization of cannabis is a global issue setting up shop on the horn of Africa.
Why not Plandai? Is what you should be asking yourself.
This is a company that is beyond reproach and has already put in place the necessary arrangements to succeed on a global scale.
Tweed Marijuana Inc. TWD.V
Share Price… $3.15
Shares Out… 35M
Market Cap… $110M
Is Tweed Marijuana Inc. going
to be the best Canadian Marijuana company?
Probably not, but they are the first legitimate story in Canada.
Looking at Tweed has got my thinking and evaluating marijuana companies
at a different level from investing and looking at the industry, where
it’s going, and what MMJ patients’ need. Bottom line is in Canada there
really are none when it comes to real medical opportunities as only
MMPR can sell and they can only sell cannabis which I don’t consider
medicine for the majority of MMJ applications. For me Tweed is a
recreation stock under the guise of a medical program. Is weed
medicine? It is. But when compared to concentrated products you get
from marijuana like cannabis oil and tinctures and waxes. There is no
comparison. And then there is one of the keys to Cannabinoid Therapy,
that many diseases, including mine theoretically require massive doses
of cannabinoids. Something I am still not on and just barely getting by
on a minimal dose. For myself, I could take 5 to 10 grams of Cannabis
Oil a day and live a great healthy life and never have a problem with
HIV. One of my theories is that maybe just maybe if I take enough
cannabinoids, I might even kill HIV like some people are doing with
cancer once they get on massive doses of up to 5 grams of oil per day.
So speaking as a MMJ user who is still massively underserved bit being
on a proper treatment of a minimum of 5 grams of oil per day… The vast
medical needs of patients are not being met with the old or new
programs. Especially when there is product that most people would
benefit a lot more form taking orally than smoking a joint…. It
frustrates me and makes me angry that everyone is scrambling to sell pot
to the public and lost in whole thing is Medical Marijuana and the
science behind it.
Cannabis Oil is a product at I would drop vaping shatter in a heartbeat
to use. But I can’t get it and the amount 5 to 10 grams orally is ten
to 20 time the amount I currently use and is beyond anything I could
ever reasonably afford until after prohibition. I am mad. You got a
bunch of filthy greedy dirt bags populating this industry that don’t
have care about the patient or don’t even understand cannabinoid
therapy, the endocannabinoid system, or even know how to make products
from cannabis for MMJ patients.
They just want to sell Canadians POT. And it pisses me off even more
when I see LOSERS AND DEADBEATS POPULATE THIS SPACE. People are going
after the cash grab while ignoring patients.
I am designing a plan to develop a company that develops key
concentrated cannabinoid products for people with HIV, cancer, and
diabetes. That is it. I don’t want to sell pot. I want to help people
get their lives back like cannabis has done for me. I have two
products; Cannabis Oil (HIV and Cancer) and a unique diabetic Massive
Dose Cannabinoid Therapy product I have designed for my JV partner with
type 2 diabetes. Is Cannabis Oil unique? Nope. But Cannabis Oil will
be the number one cannabis product aside from raw marijuana and the
first movers will take over this niche market. First movers like myself
who are using my status to take advantage of an injunction to get a 18
month head start on everyone else when it comes to making Cannabis Oil
in Canada are going to establish a supplay chain in Canada that will
hard to supplant.
No one else is doing Cannabis Oil... so why not me?
This is all I am going to say for now on this, but I leave you with a
couple calculations why everyone is going gaga for marijuana….
From a study of 77 illegal grow ops in the Netherlands; a typical indoor
growing system will yield 0.1 pounds per harvest per square foot.
Assuming four harvests in a year, you are looking at (4) 1,000 pound
crops from every 10,000 feet of growing space. Can you see why you
should be GAGA over Tweed and why the first mover status is huge?
170,000 sq. ft is a massive facility which should be able to produce
68,000 pounds of cannabis a year which is $150M selling cannabis at $10
per gram. That is an average indoor illegal grow op and not a massive
commercial grow-op where the company can take advantage of significant
economies of scale to maximize yields and reduce costs. 68,000 lbs. of
cannabis times 454 grams times averaging selling price of $10 per
gram… $308.72M revenue per year once fully operational. What are the
operating costs you say?
Maybe $100 per pound.
And again, I would fully expect TWEED to blow this number out of the
water when it comes to production once they have fully utilized their
capacity.
Even at wholesale prices of $1600 per pound… TWEED would do $110 with
gross margins exceeding 80% to 90%. These huge gaps in profit are why
prices will drop as legalization happens and competition enters the
market. There is no way the prices will stay that high.
But until we have full legalization, Tweed has a licence to sell direct
making them unique in the Canadian public company landscape. Tweed is
not the only company who has or will have massive Canadian operations.
Bedrocan plans on ipo’ing in Canada soon; Cen Biotech and Medican are
also building massive marijuana grow op facilities as well.
Fission Uranium FCU.V
Share Price… $1.40
Shares Out… 332.4M
Market Cap… $465M
Fission has been a good pick. The SP hasn’t done anything lately, but
the company has done so many spinoff your cost base on Fission should be
negative or near negative over the last few years. The big problem
with Fission in spite of having the greatest discovery in the Athabasca
Basin; is that the shares outstanding has tripled over the last year.
This is where most of the growth in the company has come from being
valued at nearly half a billion market cap. That being said, Patterson
Lake is undeniably shaping up to be the greatest discovery anywhere in
Saskatchewan.
How big is big? Well let’s look at the meat of the zone from 495E to
1080E. If you can do math and understand mapping, that is about 600
meter strike length of the main zone which 150 meters to its widest to
about 75 meters at its thinnest. The biggest significance of this
winter’s drill program is two holes that extend the PLs to the east
another 500 to 600 meters. There is big time potential to extend
continuity to the east which will make PLS a true monster.
Let’s do a little math. Let’s say 100m average width by 100m of the
mineralized zone plus times 600 meters in strike length times a 2.5
density and just in the meat of the PLS zone you have 15 million tonnes
of open pit high grade uranium grading 2 to 5 percent.
Just with in this small zone which looks like it is expanding
significantly to the east. Another 600 meters of similar resource to
the east will bring PLS to 30 million tonne high grade deposit which is
INSANE.
Just to give you an idea… 30Mt @ 5% U3O8 is 3 BILLION POUNDS of uranium. Not that I think PLS is 30Mt @ 5% U3O8.
That is the upside of PLS. So when you think of HAT being a relatively
small resource and much deeper than PLS and the size of PLS will
potentially dwarf Roughrider… Undoubtedly I believe a buyout of PLS will
be in the billions and not hundreds of millions like Hathor.
My initial target for a PLS resource is 5Mt to 10Mt @ 2% to 3%. They
announced these massive intervals but most of the resource grades are
lower outside of the flashy high grade lengths. If I had time to throw
all of PLS drill info into excel I could come up with a better number,
but that is a project for the summer. Dumping PLS results into excel
and analysing them.
At any rate…
FCU is a solid buy despite of the massive shares outstanding as I
believe this deposit is a one of kind and will yield a massive open pit
uranium mine. I cannot see this ever NOT getting the go ahead as this
mine will be the lowest cost producer in the industry once in
operation. Uranium sells off in March so May/June could be an
opportunistic time to buy FCU as uranium is increasingly starting to
come back into favor in spite of all the bad press.
FCU remains my top pick. The coming fall correction will be an
excellent time to review uranium stocks in earnest, but for now, Fission
is a top story transcending any specific sector. I will never ever
be able to let go of materials completely as the gains are always
breathtaking… I am always game for a world class discovery.
Haven’t seen too many in the Gold sector… but here is one from the Uranium sector.
3D Pioneer Systems DPSM
Share Price $0.60
Shares Out… 75.4M
Market Cap… 445.8M
DPSM is an early pick. Despite the rest of the 3D space continuing to
consolidate, DPSM has shown some life so we will continue to go with it
through the summer.
If it goes back to $0.40…YAY! Buy more.
That is the attitude you have with the summer stock picks, you are
buying stocks you think have the best stories and 3D Pioneer Systems is a
company I believe is on track to making major market penetration in
roads in the consumer 3D printing market.
Since the recommendation, the company announced the build of ‘Appaloza’
which is a proprietary e-Commerce Cloud Marketplace and 3D Printing
application. It will allow customers and designers a place to store,
edit, buy, and sell original 3D designs. The site so far is not much
more than a homepage, but the concept for consumer 3D printing is
amazing and what I think is a big part of making 3D Printing a reality
in the home. Bringing in the everyday developer to designs 3D prints
like an APP developer for apple store of android would. It is brilliant
because you are offloading everything to do with product offering and
selection. If someone wants it, they will design it, upload load it and
print it and sell reprints to others.
http://www.appaloza.com/
Christopher Skidmore